Will the support fall or the upward trend return?

The price of XRP is currently moving above the level of $ 1.40, closed in a narrow channel between $ 1.30 and $ 1.45 with complete volatility; This is what makes this event worth watching.

The 30-day stock index fell to 0.42, its lowest reading since the beginning of 2024. This excessive consolidation leads to sharp movements rather than continued price silence.

The price seems fixed until you put it inside the previous XRP. After rising above $ 3.00 in the middle of 2025, a large decline and a decrease were indicated in the following months, which reached a peak at the beginning of February 2026, when the market saw a large increase in sales that caused the weak traders to exit and re-establish positions.

Since the cleanup, the tree has not made much progress.

Can the price of XRP end up going above $1.50 or is it $1.30 next?

The price of XRP is currently not political, but it is going down, and this chart shows this; The price settles below the 50, 100, and 200 day moving averages, all of which are pointing down, which is the true definition of a market that has not yet found the bottom.

Trading volume also supports this view. We saw an increase during the sales period, and then the participation disappeared after that, which means that the trend is not cumulative, but rather silent. The fact that the $1.30 level is still active only tells us that buyers are protecting, not that they have enough strength to push the price higher.

So, the situation seems simple.

If XRP can regain the level of $1.50 and hold above it, this will be the first sign of strength and a possible change. Until that happens, any bounce is just a temporary bounce within the downtrend.

However, if the level of $ 1.30 is broken, the bottom will disappear, and there is no necessary support below it, which will lead to an acceleration of the decline.

What adds weight to the process is the data on the chain. Most of the current investors are losers, MVRV is at the last levels seen during the worst market crisis, and the winning trades are few and far between, which usually means that the interest rate is still low and has not yet started to recover.

Add to this the fact that XRP has already fallen by almost 30% over the past year, and this is not just a simple release, but a continuing trend that shows no real sign of change.

The real bottom line is that the market is under pressure, but in a downtrend, and unless this technical pattern changes, the pressure is still tipped to continue declining rather than a sudden recovery.