XRP Price Prediction: What can we expect from XRP in 2026?


The price of XRP has continued to be under pressure over the past few weeks, with several attempts at recovery failing to achieve the desired momentum. At the end of 2025, the altcoin remains vulnerable to negative momentum after recording a slightly negative year overall.

Weak spot demand and caution from retail investors influenced price action. However, institutional interest has emerged as the main force keeping XRP stable, preventing deeper declines despite continued selling.

XRP is a favorite among institutions

Institutional investors maintain their presence The most consistent supporters of XRP Throughout 2025. According to Coinshares data, XRP recorded inflows of $70 million during the week ending December 27. This brought year-to-date monthly flows to $424 million, highlighting a stable capital allocation even during periods of price decline.

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XRP has significantly outperformed the largest digital asset over the same period. Bitcoin recorded flows of $25 million, while Ethereum saw a much larger flow of $241 million.

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XRP Holding Institutional.
Institutional share of XRP. Source: Quenchers

XRP saw $3.3 billion in flows annually, highlighting continued institutional confidence despite the volatility and legal uncertainty surrounding the global crypto market.

XRP ETFs are showing strength

Institutional support has expanded beyond traditional exchange products following the launch of XRP exchange-traded funds earlier this year. Since its introductionXRB ETFs are not listed on the exchange One day net flow. Only one trading session closed without flows, reflecting unusual consistency in demand.

The influx of XRP ETF
XRB Fund Flows Exchanged. Source: Soso Value

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Ray Youssef, CEO of crypto app NoOnes, confirmed in an exclusive conversation with BeInCrypto that institutional investors are implementing long-term structured strategies.

Youssef noted that the anticipated accumulation of xrp in early December was a strategic position by market participants to keep up with the momentum generated by the etf. With the first launch cycles of ETFs on Bitcoin and Ethereum, institutional investors often accumulate assets before their prices begin to reflect these developments.

Ray Youssef also said that XRP is now seen as a high beta asset and has strong value for investors.

Youssef said that this has come about thanks to the increased participation of institutional players in the trading of the asset, which also contributes to its liquidation and adoption in the markets. Despite the current price weakness, traders still consider these prices to be a suitable entry point for potential upside when XRP performance finally reflects the ETF’s momentum.

XRP holders who refuse to hold

Long-term owners will continue to be a critical category in 2026. Historically, this category has played a stabilizing role during market downturns. Over the past year, long holders have moved between accumulation and distribution, reflecting the uncertainty around… Medium-term XRP prospects.

XRP NUPL
-xrp nupl. Source: Glass node

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The Q4 2025 period saw sales activity dominated by long-term holders. This change indicates a decrease in confidence among investors who generally hold onto their assets despite fluctuations. If this lack of conviction continues into 2026, XRP may face increased downside risks. Continued distributions by long-term holders are often preceded by extended periods of accumulation or deeper corrections.

The XRP price may see a moderate start in 2026

The price of XRP was trading near $1.87 at the time of writing, after falling by 38% during the fourth quarter of 2025. The results of the altcoin since the beginning of the year showed a decrease of 9.7% from the opening price. December failed to generate positive momentum, reinforcing the negative sentiment as we closed the year.

In any case, 2026 can chart an independent course. Ray Youssef noted that January, and perhaps the entire first quarter, may be Pretty stagnant for xrp.

Youssef explained that XRP is likely to continue trading in a consolidation range of $2 to $2.50 in January and Q1 2026, unless a decisive macro catalyst emerges. The market has yet to recover from the ongoing volatility and geopolitical turmoil resulting from strained trade relations. Numerous cases of deleverage and periods of risk have made traders reluctant to increase their directional exposure until the headwinds of the market have completely disappeared.

The broader goal remains to recover recent losses. A sustained rise above $3.00 should be achieved to rebuild the bullish structure and pave the way to the all-time high at $3.66.

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Bearish scenarios remain in place if selling pressures increase. Continued accumulation as demand declines could push XRP to lower levels. A decisive break below the support level at $1.79 is likely to expose the $1.50 area. Such a move would nullify the bullish neutral hypothesis and reinforce bearish dominance.

The analysis of the price of ETH
The analysis of the price of ETH. Source: TradingView

Seasonality adds another layer of caution.

Youssef added that XRP posted a lower performance in December due to structural weakness in the broader market. The contraction of liquidity, the weak appetite for risk and the correction of the AI ​​bubble that extended to risk assets and the entire market of digital assets contributed to reduce the impact of the expected support monsoon. The cryptocurrency market witnessed one of its worst Q4 performances in almost 7 years.

Reveal performance data XRP coin In the last 12 years, January has achieved an average gain of 3%. However, the median return reflects a decrease of 7.8%, indicating repeated performance below expectations.

XRP Monthly Returns
Monthly returns of XRP coin. Source: CryptoRank

Therefore, unless there is a major change in market sentiment and investor behavior, XRP price predictions indicate that the price may struggle during the first months of 2026 before clear trends in price action emerge.



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