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The price of Worldcoin has quietly made one of the strongest recoveries among large-cap altcoins. Since January 25, WLD has risen by about 50%, with about 13% added in the past 24 hours, as traders may have reacted to reports linking OpenAI to a new social platform focused on identity proofing.
But the graph shows that this growth did not start with the news. The OpenAI angle has added momentum. The technical catalyst came first.
The bullish divergence sent Worldcoin higher ahead of the news
Worldcoin’s recovery started to take shape before the headlines.
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Between December 18 and January 25, the WLD price recorded a lower low, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recorded a higher low. The RSI indicator measures momentum. When the price weakens, but the momentum improves, it indicates that the selling pressure is relieved. This situation is called bullish divergence and often appears near trend reversals.
That signal is already gone. Since the low on January 25, the price of Worldcoin has risen about 50%, outperforming most of the major altcoins in the same period.
It wasn’t the first time this model worked. A similar deviation between December 18 and December 31 led to a 41% increase. The current move followed the same structure, suggesting that the market was already changing before any OpenAI narrative entered the picture.
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The news was like an accelerator, not an igniter. However, the price action was missing a key point that could shape the future narrative.
While the 50% rally captured the major EMA, 20-day and 50-day moving average line, it fell short of the 100-day moving average. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a trend indicator that gives more weight to recent prices. When the price trades above the EMA key, it indicates that buyers are taking control.
The last time this pure rate rebounded cleanly in early September 2025, the price rose 115%. This line will be a major resistance level going forward.
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The OpenAI list on the social media platform added a moment, not the norm
Paid reports indicating that OpenAI can explore the social platform Built around proof of personal identity, Worldcoin is in the spotlight. The narrative fits perfectly. Worldcoin’s identity system is designed to verify people without revealing personal data.
Bryce reacted quickly. The WLD rose sharply during the day, but showed a long mecca top on the daily candle. That fuse is the key. It seems that the sellers intervened as the price rose, preventing an immediate continuation.
The data on the chain explains why.
Exchange flows jumped sharply during the rally. Inflows increased from about 0.83 million Wallis daily to a peak of close to 10.7 million Wallis in a short window. At a current price close to $0.53, this represents more than $5.6 million worth of tokens moving towards exchanges, possibly from underwater traders. This width helped with the maximum height.
Since then, flows have fallen to $3.4 million and are leading, suggesting that selling pressure has subsided. But reducing sales alone does not guarantee follow-up. Buyers still need to intervene.
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Larger whales settled first, and smaller whales followed later
Whale behavior shows a clear division in timing.
Wallets containing 10 to 100 million WLD started accumulating around January 15th, well before the OpenAI reports. Their pools increased from about $1.67 billion to $1.70 billion WLD, an increase of almost 30 million tokens, for a value of about $15.9 million.
The smaller whales, a group of one million to ten million WLD, moved in next. In the last 24 hours, his assets have increased by about $2.6 million from WLD, worth about $1.4 million at current prices. Their buying coincided with the news-driven rally rather than the first technical signal.
This dichotomy is important. Larger whales were first stationed in the structure. The young whales responded with confirmation.
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The price levels of Worldcoin will determine if a critical push of 25% is possible
Worldcoin is still in circulation Within a descending channel that brought the price to the lowest since October. The recent surge briefly challenged the upper limits, but could not hold above them.
The derivatives position remains relatively balanced. On Binance’s perpetual WLD pair, the short leverage is close to $4.65 million, while the long leverage is around $3.9 million. This slight selling bias reduces the risk of an immediate long buying squeeze and indicates that traders remain cautious.
WLD key price levels now define this parameter.
On the positive side, Worldcoin must recover $0.66 on a daily basis, a 25% increase from current levels. This level is in line with the 100-day EMA, which rejected the price during the recent rally. A clean move above would open towards $0.73, $0.84, and possibly $0.95 if momentum builds.
On the upside, a $0.51 loss weakens WLD’s price structure. Below $0.48, liquidation risks increase, with a deeper decline towards $0.43 if sellers regain control.
The recovery of Worldcoin is real and technically realistic. But confirmation is still missing. The OpenAI narrative has added fuel, not certainty. February will determine whether it becomes a complete trend reversal or a strong rally that runs out of room in the growing selling pressure.
