Will Bitcoin Cash (BCH) manage to repeat the 28% rally seen in 2025?


The price of Bitcoin Cash has been declining recently, raising fears of a broader bearish reversal. BCH fell to lower levels along with the general cryptocurrency market, testing short-term support zones. However, the overall view suggests that this decline may resemble a previous consolidation phase.

Historical tracking patterns showed similar fluctuations between October and November 2025. At that time, BCH formed a price squeeze structure before achieving a 28% rally. The current price behavior, combined with consolidation trends, indicates that a similar pattern can be formed again.

Bitcoin Cash holders continue to buy

The data of the series shows the continuous accumulation of midges. In the last 20 days, addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BCH have accumulated around 60,000 BCH. At current prices, this equates to about $28.6 million in value.

These participants represent the category of non-whale investors who often cite organic demand. Its build-up to recent price weakness exemplifies clear resilience. Unlike speculative traders, this group tends to build positions gradually. Continued purchases on their part can provide structural support below The price of Bitcoin Cash.

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Assemble Bitcoin holders
Assemble Bitcoin holders. Source: Saintly

The mvrv long/short difference indicator provided additional insight. Currently, the indicator is in positive territory. Positive readings indicate that long-term holders make greater profits than short-term holders.

This variable increases Bitcoin Cash Stability. Short holders usually sell quickly if they make a small profit. While long-term holders maintain their positions during volatility. Its control could reduce immediate pressure to sell and strengthen the foundation for a potential recovery phase.

Long/short MVRV difference for Bitcoin
Long/short MVRV difference for Bitcoin. Source: Saintly

BCH price repeats its past

Bitcoin Cash is trading at $478 at the time of writing, with continued consolidation in an asymmetric triangle pattern. A similar structure was formed between October and November 2025 before a large demonstration. This discovery caused the price to increase by 28% after a long period of pressure.

For BCH to repeat that move, the $479 support must hold. A 15% decline this week reinforced the triangle pattern. A confirmed break above $540 would signal a return of bullish momentum. This move may reverse the previous bullish scenario.

Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis. Source: Trade view

However, downside risks remain. If a sudden sell-off appears, BCH may fall towards the $458 support. Losing this level will weaken the bullish scenario. A sustained breakout could push BCH towards $423, invalidating the recovery thesis and strengthening the bearish momentum.



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