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The Pi coin price held up better than most major currencies during November, but the charts are now showing a mix of strength and early warning signs. November was the quietest month for Pi since the summer, and the coin is still trying to return higher for only the third time this year.
The question now is whether this momentum can be maintained in December, or even do better than November, or if the larger downward trend will take control.
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History and its negative association with Bitcoin
Pi coin is still new, so its price history tells a short but clear story. Most of 2025 was in the red. Only February and May saw increases. November is trying to join that list.
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What stands out is Monthly negative correlation for Pi With Bitcoin, it is currently around -0.24. When Bitcoin declines, Pi often holds strong or even rises. As Bitcoin has weakened since October, Pi has found support.
In the past month, the price of Pi has only fallen about 2.6%, while Bitcoin has fallen even more. About 19%.
The weekly performance reflects this as well. Pi is still up 2.7% in the last seven days, making it one of the most stable coins during a weak market. However, some signals in the three-day chart now suggest that December could be more challenging than November.
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An apparent bearish divergence appears as big money weakens
The largest Pi coin structure It is still in a descending convergence wedge, which is usually a bullish pattern. Now the PI price is close to the upper trend line of this wedge. The manifestation from here usually looks positive. But it shows a first sign of weakness.
First is the deviation in the RSI on the three-day chart. The Relative Strength Index, or Relative Strength Index, measures momentum. Between October 25 and November 24, Pi made a lower high, but the RSI made a higher high. This is a hidden negative bias. It usually means that the downward trend is still strong even if prices seem stable.
Second is the Chaikin Money Flow Index, which tracks whether large amounts of money are entering or exiting the market. The CMF indicator is still in the negative territory on the 3-day chart and now sliding towards the rising trend line.
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The last time the CMF indicator revisited this line at the beginning of October, Pi fell by more than 42%.
Together, the two signals mean that the November strength of PI may not be fully translated into December, unless money returns and the CMF avoids a collapse.
Pi coin price levels to watch in December
The chart shows a simple figure. The needs of the PI price To break $0.28 to build momentum. This level is in line with the upper border of the cradle.
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A clean close above $0.28 open moves towards $0.36, and if the importance improves further, even $0.46 becomes possible. But indications are that this is less likely unless the CMF improves.
On the upside, $0.21 and $0.20 are the first levels to watch. A drop below $0.20 reveals the $0.18 area. If Bitcoin suddenly turns to the upside, the negative correlation of PI could cause poor performance in the short term. This could push the price of Pi Coin towards the lower end of the wedge.
The hottest point in December is $0.20. Maintaining this level maintains the long-lasting structure. Losing brings $0.18 and $0.15, again into consideration.
Pi still has a chance to finish the year stronger than expected. However, it depends entirely on the stability of the CMF and whether the falling wedge will allow the price to break out and reach $0.28.
Hope emerges if Bitcoin weakens and the negative correlation makes Pi more attractive to big money.
