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A well-known Polish market analyst has issued a public apology after his latest Bitcoin forecast collapsed within weeks, sparking widespread debate on social media.
Robert Roszwa, known online as El Professor, admitted that his plan was wrong and published a detailed analysis describing the mistakes behind the failed scenario.
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An analyst breaks the norm in the industry to own his mistake
Cryptocurrency forecasters often highlight their wins and remain silent when predictions fail. Roszwa took the opposite approach.
Initially issued Expectation called “the floor”, Specify a path Bullish for Bitcoin Based on market breakouts, the 50-week moving average, and a seasonal movement often described as a “Santa Claus Rally.”
According to his model, Bitcoin was expected to maintain its upward trend It provides opportunities to take buy positions at specific technical levels.
Reversing market forces are forcing a revaluation
It only took three weeks for the market to reject that vision. Bitcoin fell below key areas and the entire bullish structure became invalid.
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On November 21, Ruszwa directly addressed the failure to anticipate, writing:
“I failed…I’m sorry to everyone who followed this plan. I know where I went wrong.”
Later he explained that he always prepares two scenarios – up and down. The first worked out from about $116,000 to $94,700. Deeper retreat His bearish forecast came true.
He emphasized that reacting to market changes is more important than adhering to a direction.
What went wrong with “The Plan”?
Roszwa later published a technical analysis of the error. He pointed to several indicators that he classified incorrectly in terms of probability.
He said that this faulty arrangement led him to make mistakes The potential movement of Bitcoin.
The article did not cause much controversy, but it stimulated discussion among traders. Several users have praised it for its transparency, noting that few analysts have publicly published their mistakes.
His answer highlights a broader reality in cryptocurrency markets: where even well-constructed scenarios require constant revision, the market can still surprise even the most seasoned experts.
