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Pi Coin has struggled to gain significant momentum, reflecting the weak conviction among investors. The altcoin had a difficult 2025, marked by continued selling pressure and limited attempts to recover.
Despite the brief rebounds, emotions remain fragile. As Pi Coin enters 2026, expectations for a lasting recovery remain uncertain amid unstable demand signals.
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Pi Coin did not achieve outstanding performance
The monthly return data paints a difficult picture For the first year of Pi Coin. Since its launch in February, the token has recorded losses in most months. Only two periods produced positive returns, highlighting the asset’s inability to maintain momentum.
The steepest decline occurred shortly after launch. In March, Pi Coin fell by 66.5%, wiping out the early optimism around the mobile mining network. This sharp decline set a negative tone that continues. The historically weak monthly performance suggests that downside risks still outweigh upside expectations.
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However, February 2026 may be a short-lived catalyst. The altcoin is celebrating its first birthday, a milestone that is attracting a lot of renewed attention. Speculative interest around the anniversary has previously led to temporary spikes in emerging digital assets.
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Investors have lost confidence before
Interpret capital flow indicators More than double the current Paycoin currency. During the past year, the asset has oscillated between inflows and outflows without defining a clear trend. This hesitancy among investors has limited attempts to recover prices.
Chaikin’s cash flow highlights the continued dominance of sales. Since launch, CMF has reached the -0.15 oversold limit on five occasions. In contrast, it only reached the overbought level 0.20 three times, indicating stronger selling pressure.
Even if the CMF rises above the zero line, the recovery remains uncertain. Historically, fundamental trend reversals have required Pi Coin to surpass CMF 0.20. Without this confirmation, the demonstrations could quickly fade in the middle of the renewed distribution.
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What Pi Coin does it need to recover?
From a broader perspective, Pi Coin faces a steep challenge to regain credibility. The altcoin should rise about 1,376% to regain its all-time high of $2,994, which was set in early March. Such a transition required a major shift in demand.
Initial signs of recovery are appearing If you launch the Pi Coin 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.273 for support. This level represents the first technical limit that separates the consolidation from the first recovery.
The strongest confirmation is still far away. A sustained bullish structure would require a retracement of $0.662 as support. Until then, Pi Coin is still in a long rebuilding phase with limited conviction.
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The price of the index may not see a significant increase
In the short term, Pi shows initial strength. The symbol remains above the critical support level of $0.199. This plan has been tested three times without a daily close below, which indicates that buyers are defending this area.
Maintaining this support keeps building short-term momentum. While $0.199 holds, downside risks remain limited. This behavior supports a cautiously optimistic outlook in the coming weeks.
To make up for December’s losses, Request Pi Coin An increase of 34%. Such a move will push the price towards $0.272. In the near term, claiming the support levels of $0.224 and $0.246 remains the primary target.
Achieving these goals means an improvement in feelings. Gradually higher levels may attract speculative interest, especially if broader market conditions stabilize. However, size confirmation is still essential for sustainability.
Downside risks persist if investor confidence deteriorates. A failure below $0.199 will invalidate the bullish hypothesis. In this scenario, the Pi may crash Coin Around $0.188 or less, losses will accelerate amid panic-driven selling.
