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Bitcoin traders faced new signals on the chain indicating that older coins are returning to the market as investors prepare for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decision. Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates at its December meeting, and markets have already priced in a 25 basis point move.
However, the chain activity suggests that uncertainty exists beneath the surface.
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Bitcoin supply sleeps again as the market awaits policy clarity
More than 2,400 bitcoins more than a decade old have moved this week, triggering a long supply worth more than $215 million. These coins usually remain intangible, and the movement is often preceded by distribution instead of accumulation.
Another signal indicates that the Coin Days Destroyed meter is flashing again. This metric stands out Old owners transferring BitcoinAnd often on sale when strong.
Demand absorbed supply earlier in the year, but analysts now note that buyers are pulling back as experienced owners are sending coins into the market.
The return of old supply during weak demand usually puts pressure on price action. ETF flows remain weak, and net flows show reduced institutional appetite compared to recent highs. This suggests that pools may suffer unless liquidity returns.
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Institutional analysts remain confident in the broader cycle. Bernstein argues that Bitcoin has broken the semi-annual decline pattern And enter Extended adoption phase.
The company expects that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 in 2026with a possible peak in 2027 close to $200,000.
Now the direction of the market depends Federal Reserve. If policymakers lower rates as expected, liquidity and risk assets could strengthen until early 2026.
A weaker dollar and lower costs of capital could help support demand for ETFs and absorb long-term angel sales.
A smaller delay or reduction can create volatility. In conjunction with revived supplies, Bitcoin may face deeper corrections before recovery.
Analysts warn that strong offers will be needed to balance the reactivation of old supplies.
Currently, Bitcoin is between the changes in the behavior in the chain and the macroeconomic expectations. Investors should watch the FOMC signal to understand if the next move will strengthen market resistance or reveal more losses.
