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XRP has seen increased volatility in recent days as this reflects a struggle between selling pressure and long-term accumulation.
Price volatility has been limited, but the recovery remains uncertain as investors react differently to changing market conditions. Despite these challenges, XRP has managed to maintain its overall upward trend since the beginning of 2026.
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Selling pressure was present A clear obstacle to XRP This month. The data of the balances of the exchange show that the shares of XRP on the centralized platforms have increased by about 206 million tokens since the beginning of January. Total exchange balances now stand at around 1.66 billion XRP, indicating continued distribution.
Current prices show that this move represents about $430 million of XRP ready for sale in less than two weeks. Such constant flows in exchanges often reflect weak confidence among participants in the short term. If this behavior continues, it can affect the price by increasing the short supply.
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This model suggests that many investors prefer to reduce the risk of holding during uncertainty. High exchange balances often coincide with profit taking or defensive positions. For XRP, this is the sale So far, the upward momentum has been limited, although the price has avoided deeper declines.
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While short-term selling remains evident, long-term indicators reflect a more balanced picture. The HODLer Site Net Change Indicator shows stronger green bars since early January. This suggests that long-term holders accumulate or hold rather than distribute.
This change in behavior among the older cards helped absorb some of the selling pressure. Long holders often act as stabilizers during volatile periods, limiting downward movements. Its conviction has increased since the beginning of 2026, limiting the impact of flows to exchanges.
XRP is trading near $2.11 at the time of writing, holding key support at $2.10. The price has maintained an upward structure since the beginning of the month. Maintaining this level becomes crucial to maintain the current trend.
Mixed signals indicate that XRP can continue In the formation of higher bass with time. However, if selling pressure increases, the symbol may enter a consolidation phase. In this case, the price will mostly move between the support of $2.10 and the resistance of $2.20.
A more optimistic scenario is based on sellers pulling back. If flows to the platforms slow down and demand improves, XRP may jump From $2.10 and you get $2.20 back. A confirmed breakout opens the way towards $2.31. Retrieving losses from November 2025 near $2.50 remains possible, although patience and continued accumulation may be required.