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Monad has fallen more than 47% from its post-listing high in just four days. Monad’s price chart shows a rapid rise after launch followed by a sharp slide down, a pattern similar to how the Pi coin traded immediately after its launch.. Both are new Layer-1 projects that launched with strong interest, but both declined rapidly after launch.
This piece compares the chart structure and then examines whether MON is showing the same continued weakness as Pi, or whether its own setup is still showing signs of stability.
Monad reflects the first decline in the Pi coin after the listing
Pi lost about 86.57% of its value in the first six weeks after listing and is now over 91% from its post-launch high.
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Monad followed It followed a similar trajectory at the open, falling 47.57% from its peak in just four days.
Both graphs show the same initial characteristics:
- Rapid increase after launch
- Deeper correction almost instantly
The main difference is the bottom of the market. Pi coin launched During a stronger crypto environment earlier this year. When it fell, it was unable to recover even half of its losses despite Bitcoin recording new highs in early October.
Monad enters a weaker market where liquidity is weak and large assets are struggling to maintain momentum. So the odds are definitely not in their favor.
Although the similarity of the price between Luna and Pi is evident on the surface, the next step is to look deeper into the Monad chart and the platform to see if the weakness continues or if there are first signs of support formation.
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The power of supply decreases as the inflow of large funds decreases
The internal picture for Monad becomes weaker once we examine how the big funds have performed since the first week of listing.
The first signal comes from the CMF, which tracks whether large buyers are sending money or withdrawing money from assets. After the initial post-launch rush, the token stabilized towards the end of October, the point at which CMF became usable. Since then, the money flow line moves in only one direction – down.
Since October 27, CMF has fallen by more than 270% and has been below zero for most of the decline. Falling below zero means big buyers are pulling back and not adding support.
Even major market players, such as Arthur Hayes, have expressed doubts about Monad, citing large capital inflows.
Moon’s CMF is now close to its lowest reading since the token’s launch, which typically indicates that deep fund confidence has yet to return.
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This reflects what you have shown BI currency In its first twenty days. CMF collapsed about 330% earlier, and prices continued to fall for weeks.
The second problem appears in reading the strength of bulls and bears. BBP measures whether buyers or sellers have more control over the momentum. When the BBP is so negative while the CMF continues to hit new lows, even the recovery tends to be short-lived.
Together, these signals indicate that Monad has not yet attracted strong offers. MON’s price chart appears to be bearish, and both metrics indicate that buyers are still hesitant. Although short-term rebounds appear, a major reversal seems unlikely unless large sums of money are returned and momentum returns to the upside.
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How low will the Monad price go if the decline continues?
With cash flow weak and sellers in complete control, the final piece of the puzzle is the pricing structure itself. The short-term trend in the Monad 4-hour price chart from November 26 indicated, and the candles respect this trend without any significant changes.
This phase acts as a simple extension map where each failed roll focuses on the next level.
If the Monad loses $0.026, the decline could extend towards $0.023, which is the next obvious level in the trend extension. If momentum remains weak and cash flow continues to decline, even $0.013 remains on the table as a deeper expectation.
These levels seem far away, but Pi coin also continued to fall after launch, and the similarity in the initial structure is difficult to ignore.
Any recovery attempt should start with a move above $0.029. This movement only stabilizes the structure. The real shift appears only if the monad closes above $0.039 and then $0.040.
The clash of these ranges will break the current slope, build confidence, and weaken the comparison with the initial Pi chart.
Currently, the Monad is trading under both brands, with money continuing to flow near its bottom line and momentum maintained by sellers. Unless these two conditions change, the path of least resistance remains, and the comparison with Pi remains alive rather than fading away.
