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The price of Ethereum is up 6.7% in the last 24 hours and is trading near $3,320. The move follows a breakout structure confirmed on December 3, which still points to $3,710.
But now mixed signals indicate that growth may last longer.
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He continues Ethereum price Moving into the same reversal detection system that was formed at the end of November. This decision remained in effect after December 3 because the right shoulder support at $2,710 persisted. The structure only weakens if ETH falls below this level.
A major catalyst is now the bullish crossover that is forming between the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 50-period EMA. The Exponential Moving Average, or EMA, tracks price with additional weight on recent candles.
A bullish cross usually indicates that the buyers are stronger and the momentum may continue in the same direction. This catalyst may push the price of ETH higher, towards the expected target of $3,710.
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But this overlap will only form if the sellers do not intervene. A gauge on the chain shows why caution should be exercised.
Ethereum’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) measures the “paper profit” held by all ETH wallets. As NUPL grows, more holders have a reason to sell because they receive larger unrealized gains.
ETH’s NUPL index has now reached 0.296, pushing it into optimistic and anxious territory. This is the highest reading since early November.
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The last time NUPL reached a similar level – on December 3 – ETH fell about 5.2% in two days, as profits were booked by holders.
A similar setting appears now. Profitability is growing again while ETH is near resistance. This increases the likelihood that some players will sell before the upward movement is over. If this happens, the crossover may fail, and momentum may stall even if the rupture structure remains intact. This explains the long wait.
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If the bullish cross is complete and the NUPL pressure remains limited, the price of Ethereum has a clear upward trajectory:
If sales increase instead, the structure weakens. ETH remains valid above $2,710, but a move below $2,610 invalidates the setup and signals a deeper pullback.
Right now, ETH is caught between two forces: a bullish crossover that could push it toward $3,710, and a rising fiat gain that could delay the move. The next few sessions will determine which side leads.