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Hedera’s price has declined in recent sessions, forming a falling wedge pattern that usually indicates a potential bullish breakout. HBAR was trading at $0.0923 at press time, remaining below the $0.0938 resistance level.
Although the technical structure suggests a potential upside, Bitcoin’s direction may determine whether or not this breakout occurs.
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HBAR holders reduce sales
The Money Flow Index or MFI shows a corresponding bullish divergence HBAR price action. Although the HBAR came in a little lower, the MFI posted a higher reading. This divergence indicates weak selling pressure below the surface.
Bullish divergences often precede reversals in cryptocurrency markets. When momentum indicators improve during price declines, this reflects a decrease in seller confidence. Investors appear to be slowing distribution, which could allow HBAR to stabilize and attempt a rebound.
Confirmation of an upward breakout from the falling expanding wedge may lead to forced liquidation of short positions. Liquidation data indicates a large concentration of short positions near the $0.1012 level. It is expected that Move over this limit It can put pressure on short translators.
The liquidation chart indicates that most of the short selling liquidations are concentrated up to the $0.1012 level. A bull run in that area could lead to liquidations of about $4.34 million. Forced buying resulting from the liquidation of short positions often accelerates bullish momentum and supports breakout structures in volatile altcoins.
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Bitcoin is still a problem
Although the technical signals are improving, Bitcoin is still the dominant influence. In recent months, Hedera has shown a growing correlation with BTC. When Bitcoin declines, They often reflect HBAR This weakness is independent of its internal structure.
A slight divergence occurred between June and July 2025, when BTC advanced while HBAR moved sideways. Outside of that period, price behavior was largely consistent. With the correlation strengthening now, Habbar may struggle if Bitcoin fails to gain upward momentum.
The price of HBAR is on the horizon
The price of HBAR is located at $0.0923, and it is trading in an expanding falling wedge. Immediate resistance at $0.0938 still limits upside attempts. A confirmed breakout would require a flip of $0.1005 to become support and a decisive break of $0.1071.
Crossing these levels reinforces the uptrend and opens the way towards $0.1300, which represents a recovery from recent losses. However, $0.1071 remains the main short-term target before any extended rally becomes sustainable.
On the other hand, a return of Bitcoin weakness can invalidate the bullish scenario. Failure to cross $0.0938 or missing $0.0855 support increases the downside risk. The decrease towards $0.0780 confirms the continuation of the consolidation process and delays any breakout scenario.
