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XRP has been flat for most of the last 24 hours and is still down about 16.8% in the last 30 days. The chart still looks pessimistic, but this Christmas season of 2025 brings three tailwinds that seem to be trying to pull the sled in a new direction.
It is not an invitation to the meeting. It’s a trap. If the buyers stop, this could be the start of something.
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Momentum and cash flow are trying to join the Christmas chorus
It was XRP price Lower trends between November 4th and December 24th, forming the lowest lows. But the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures momentum, has hit record lows over the same period. This is called a bullish divergence. This happens when the price decreases, but the impulse appears silently, often appearing before a reversal attempt.
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The Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks volume and flows, also shows a difference.
Between November 21 and December 18, the price tends lower, but the ASI continues the upward trend. This indicates low buying pressure and a return of funds even with price hesitations. In response, the price of XRP began to recover after December 18.
Currently, the IMF is still maintaining a lower setting compared to November 21, despite the recent decrease against the price increase. In addition, it has now come out of the very oversold zone, which indicates a resumption of the buy-low narrative, close to the reversal zone.
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Both signals indicate that sellers may lose power. Not affirmations, but Christmas carols whispering beneath the surface.
The whales return as attentive reindeer
Two groups of whales began to add, but not significantly. The second largest lot, which contains between 100 million and 1 billion XRP, increased its holding from 8.11 billion XRP to 8.23 ​​billion XRP as of December 22. At current prices, that’s about $150 million.
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The next batch, which had between 10 million and 100 million, increased XRP From 10.88 billion XRP to 10.9 billion XRP, a little late on December 23. At current prices, that equates to an increase of nearly $50 million.
This is not an aggressive buildup like the mid-December highs. He is cautious, like a reindeer testing the snow before pouncing forward. However, the addition of whales during the improvement of the momentum gives the reversal attempt a strong momentum. This shows that the deeper pockets of the market have not given up on excursions to current levels.
XRP price levels that could light a Christmas tree
If the XRP price wants to turn these signals into real results, it will work with them. The first hurdle is close to $1.98. This level is a maximum of any upward movement since December 15th. If XRP buyers can help it settle, a move to the $2.12 area becomes possible. On top of that, the $2.23 shoppers prove they’re more than just holiday visitors.
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As for the decline, the base level is $1.77. This has served as structural support since October 10. A close day below $1.77 indicates that the sled cannot be off and that the sellers still have the season.
currently, XRP keeps On the index above $ 1.77 with a gradual improvement in the moment, there is no more flow of money, and the hunt is back in the market. None of these changes make the chart positive on its own. Together, they set the stage for a potential trend change if price cooperates.
If XRP rises above a strong $1.98, the Christmas winds pushing from below could become strong enough to matter. Even then, the sled is moving forward, but it hasn’t taken off yet.
