Physical Address
304 North Cardinal St.
Dorchester Center, MA 02124
The price of RAIN has risen by about 40% in the last 30 days, keeping the breakout structure intact. The price is now trading just below $0.0104, but this level is no longer the real focus.
The active breakout structure points to a new all-time high above $0.0110, which is more than 10% higher than current levels. While the upside remains open, the declining momentum suggests that sellers may return as peaks of optimism.
Sponsored
Sponsored
The real target is a new all-time high, and sellers are still waiting
The active head and shoulders reversal structure predicts a new high of more than 10% above current prices, near the $0.0110 area. This expected level, not the previous peak, is where traders sit. The current consolidation is not making profits at peak levels. It’s a question of if RAIN could be extended In its next stage.
Want more icon insights like these? Subscribe to publisher Harsh Notaria’s Crypto newsletter here.
The behavior of the chain supports this view. Activity in the token age category, which tracks the number of tokens moved in the chain and often reflects a sale or profit, has collapsed in recent days. Since January 22, cryptocurrency activity has dropped from about 104.8 million to 25.4 million, a decrease of almost 76% in just three days.
This sharp drop means that the holders are not transferring tokens despite the price increase, indicating a positive behavior in the short term. This refers to self-control, not distribution. Participants appeared to be waiting for the highest expected attempt ever before taking action. In simple terms, sellers are currently pulling back, allowing the breakout path towards $0.0110 to remain intact. But this quiet phase is exactly where the risks start to pile up.
Sponsored
Sponsored
Because sellers can return near the expected ATH price
The first warning comes from the structure that forms below the original breakout.
As rain continued to increase from early January, a secondary head and shoulders reversal pattern began to form. Unlike the previous slit construction, this slit has a steeply sloping neck and a straight shoulder that is larger than the head. This shape makes tracking the pass more difficult. The expected upside from this structure is modest, around 13-14%, and requires strong momentum to succeed.
Long-term momentum does not confirm that strength.
Between January 6 and January 22, the RIN price made a higher high, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a lower high. The RSI measures price momentum by comparing recent gains with losses. When the price rises, but the RSI indicator weakens the number, it indicates a decrease in buying pressure, not strength. This bearish divergence appears in the RSI indicator before reaching the expected ATH rate, and is a major warning.
Sponsored
Sponsored
The Money Flow Index (MFI) reinforces this concern. The IMF tracks buying and selling pressure using price and quantity. Between January 6 and 24, the price of RRAIN moved a little higher, but MFI has a lower trend. This indicates weak low buying, although sellers are still inactive.
This explains the discrepancy on the surface. Spendable currencies fall because sellers wait. RSI and MFI weaken because buyers do not enter aggressively.
Demonstrations supported by the limitation of the seller instead of the expansion of the buyer are fragile. If the price of RAIN finally reaches… Expected ATH areaEven moderate profits (returns to sellers) can change efficiency.
Sponsored
Sponsored
The rain price levels that matter next
RAINFALL could also reach an all-time high. Nothing in the data directly blocks this path.
A daily close above $0.0110 would confirm the expansion after the expected breakout and open the way towards $0.0128, largely driven by sentiment and ongoing momentum.
However, the risks pile up quickly if the market hesitates near that area.
If sellers return and crypto activity resumes near the expected ATH rate, the first level to watch is $0.0099, where the recent structure begins to weaken. Below that, confidence in preparation fades away.
A break below $0.0082-0.0081 will negate the new structure of the right shoulder and head and open the door towards $0.0068, marking a deeper corrective phase.
