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XRP price has recovered from its recent lows, rising about 4% from yesterday’s low and stabilizing after a slight pullback. While the broader trend remains cautious, new indicators suggest the downward momentum may be fading.
With the issuer of XRP recently on the status of the regulated bank, the focus now turns to whether the main holders continue to intervene to confirm a real change in trend.
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On the daily paper, Show XRP price Bullish divergence between December 1 and December 12. During this period, the price made a lower low, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a higher low. The RSI measures momentum, and this pattern often appears when selling pressure weakens before a rebound.
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This installation has already caused a rebound, but what makes it even more interesting is the behavior of the whale. The two largest groups of XRP holders have already started to respond.
Wallets exceeding 1 billion XRP increased from 25.36 billion on December 9 to 25.42 billion. Meanwhile, wallets holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP reversed their selling trend, increasing from 8.08 billion on December 11 to 8.15 billion at press time.
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In total, these two groups add up to about 130 million XRP. At current prices, this equates to about $265 million in net backlog. This confirms that the largest shareholders not only observe the deviation, but act on it.
Timing is also important. Ripple recently came close to obtaining a US banking licensewhich reinforced its long-term institutional narrative. This regulatory framework adds additional weight to the interest of whales at these levels.
For upward deflection to be valid, The XRP price should follow. The first important level is $2.11. The end of each day above constitutes a movement of 3.72% from the current levels and confirms that the buyers will regain control in the short term. XRP has not held above $2.11 since early December.
If this level is broken, the next resistance will be at $2.21. Only a sustained move above $2.21 will change the structure to the upside and reopen the path towards $2.58 or higher.
On the other hand, the risk remains clearly defined. If the XRP price falls below $1.96 while the RSI indicator weakens, the bullish divergence will be invalidated. This scenario reveals first $1.88, followed by $1.81 if the sale accelerates.
Currently, the preparation is constructive but incomplete. The momentum indicators show an improvement, and the whales have already responded once. For this reversal to be fully realized, these main carriers need to continue to add support, not just respond temporarily.