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Hydra has struggled to regain momentum after a recent decline, which has left price movement limited in the market’s range. HBAR tried to stabilize, but the recovery stalled as the behavior of the bearers affected the sentiment.
This hesitation can benefit futures traders, as the positions indicate the potential for a strong move if key levels are broken.
Hedera traders have a lot to lose
Derived data show that HBAR traders On desks are exposed to significant risks if the price increases. The settlement chart indicates that the largest group of short positions is located near the $0.114 level. A move to that price would result in short liquidations of about $4.5 million, forcing quick buying.
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The current situation is still leaning towards short selling instead of buying (the famous short). This imbalance reflects the negative sentiment in the derivatives markets. Crowded random exposure increases the likelihood of higher volatility, especially if it pushes price through resistance and forces traders to quickly exit losing positions.
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General indicators point to weak investor participation. Chaikin’s cash flow continued to decline for nearly two weeks, making consecutive lows. CMF tracks the movement of capital in and out of an asset using price and volume, making it a key demand signal.
A slippage indicator below the zero line confirms net flows Domina HBAR. This behavior indicates that investors are reducing exposure instead of accumulating it. Sustained flows usually pressure the price and delay recovery attempts unless sentiment changes decisively.
The HBAR price must ensure this vital support
HBAR is trading near $0.108 at the time of writing, remaining around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This level acts as a critical pivot for the direction of the trend. Securing the Fund as a backstop will improve recovery prospects and challenge the prevailing negative bias.
If the flows continue, HBAR can fail In defense of this area. In this scenario, the price could return to the 2026 low near $0.102. Such a move would prolong the downward trend and strengthen the downside momentum in the spot and derivatives markets.
The bullish scenario requires a confirmed retracement of the 23.6% Fibonacci level. Turn it into support Can increase HBAR About 38.2% of both legs are close to $0.112. Crossing the $0.115 resistance will likely trigger short sell-offs, invalidate the bearish thesis, and support a broader recovery.
