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The price of Bitcoin may approach a short-term recovery, according to chain analyst Willy Wu, as the evolution of macroeconomic policy in the United States may accelerate the adoption of cryptocurrency.
The models based on Wu’s data suggest that the inflows of investors in Bitcoin reached the bottom on December 24, 2025, and since then it continues to strengthen. While its overall forecast for 2026 remains cautious due to declining liquidity, the short-term setup indicates a cautious bullish window in the coming weeks.
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Bitcoin Flows Signal Bounce as Trump’s Credit Card Cap Approaches
Bitcoin is currently trading at around $90,580, which is less than the estimated miner production costs of around $101,000 per bitcoin.
According to analyst Wimar.X, trading below the cost of the metal historically does not cause panic sales. In contrast, Miners slow down production and expectations of better prices, creating what is often an area of low activity that acts as a temporary floor.
“Bitcoin is cheap compared to what it takes to produce … Most people sell there. Then you push Bitcoin above the cost of the metal, and suddenly everyone comes back. It’s the same story every cycle, He said Wimar.
Elsewhere, he confirms The series analyst is Willie Wu Spot flows, not narratives or stock market correlations, are the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price recovery.
“The whole market could ideally go higher without Bitcoin if investors didn’t allocate to it,” he said. He indicated. “Our work focuses on measuring the real flows that real investors put into Bitcoin … not fictitious flows from a narrative.”
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The technical and flow-driven picture may intersect with a potential Macro catalyst: President Donald Trump’s recent proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% for one year, effective January 20, 2026.
Trump’s credit boss may push consumers toward Bitcoin and decentralized finance
The latest push is directed at President Donald Trump Capping credit card interest rates at 10% eased the financial burden of millions of Americans. May restrict access to traditional credit for consumers with scores below 780.
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Cryptocurrency analysts and commentators warn that this move may inadvertently push these users towards alternative financial systems, including Bitcoin.
Others noted that banks such as Visa and MasterCard may face short-term volatility as they adjust to potential restrictions on riskier credit users.
“Tomorrow, we will see the market reaction to Trump’s call for a 10% cap on credit card interest rates, which could significantly affect Visa and MasterCard,” books Crypto Rover Analyst.
Industry analysts note that this policy could lead to banks selling to customers with low credit ratings, who could enter decentralized lending platforms such as Aave or Compound.
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Cryptocurrency theorists suggest that this could create a “smooth adoption cycle,” with stablecoins, Bitcoin, and Ethereum-based infrastructure benefiting from the growing demand for… Decentralized financial services.
While Wu sees the potential for a short-term rebound, he remains cautious about the broader outlook for 2026. Liquidity flows have fallen relative to price momentum since January 2025, suggesting that while temporary spikes have occurred, they may lack the necessary support to support the rally.
However, convergence supports the costs of miners, boosting flows, and potential policy-driven demand It creates a high volatility environment for Bitcoin.
As the markets prepare for the policy to take effect on January 20 and the liquidity trends continue, the coming weeks could be crucial to test whether Bitcoin is able to benefit from the flow fundamentals and macroeconomic shocks.
This creates a rare tipping point where growing short-term forces meet structural uncertainty.
