Suspicion of insider trading at Polymarket after the Iran deal

Three bags. half million dollar. It had zero jobs on the network before that. The regularity of the US-Iran ceasefire on Polymarket raises questions about the existence of insider trading, questions that have not been clearly answered, even though blockchain documents are now publicly available.

Crypto markets caught on Ceasefire news is a major rise in the price of Bitcoin to $71,000but the real story may be in what happened at Polymarket hours before Trump sent anything.

So this Guy on Polymarket put 10K$ in Iran USA to stop fire same day about 2.8¢

And he walked away with $450,000 in net profit

Insider Trading or real opportunity? pic.twitter.com/0vRGwnpHPN

– Baba Cryptonath ♣️ (@BabaCryptonath) April 8, 2026

Blockchain analytics company Lookonchain tracked three newly created wallets that generated $484,575 in profits by betting “yes” on the market. “End of war between America and Iran by April 7”. The odds of entering a bet were only between 2.9% and 10.3%. Interestingly, these wallets were created and paid for on Tuesday without any previous activity on the network prior to placing their bets.

The objections of the inferior in Polymarket

The per capita income was divided at $200,525, $158,600, and $125,450. One trader made his first trade at the market at 1:59 PM UTC on Tuesday, just 8.5 hours before Trump confirmed the deal via the Truth Social platform at 10:32 PM. As for the other two wallets, they entered the market at 10:01 AM on Tuesday and 8:50 PM on Monday, respectively.

This is not the first time that suspicious accounts have appeared on Polymarket related to geopolitical implications. An unidentified wallet made a profit of about $400,000 on transactions involving the United States and Venezuela in similar transactions.

OH!

Yesterday, a new Polymarket account made a big bet that Maduro will be out of office by January 31st.

Today, the United States protested in Venezuela and seized Maduro.

The seller has now made over $400K.

Inside or just lucky? pic.twitter.com/4g3os3eUE2

– Top Profits! (@uptheprofits) January 6, 2026

The Ceasefire market recorded a total of $60 million in sales within 24 hours, totaling $162.6 million, which shows real interest from the public, but the timing of these three bags seems too accurate to ignore.

The trading volume in the markets related to Iran in Polymarket reached $ 90 million in 48 hours (April 6-8), and the ceasefire agreement alone generated $ 57 million during that time. The “Ceasefire between America and Iran by April 7” market settled at 100 cents (full chance) after the confirmation of the two-week agreement, paying a large profit. A similar market was considered, with the title “Stopping the fire before oil hits $120?” It’s a “yes” result for 100 cents.

The platform has already faced political challenges, removing markets related to “rescue services” amid bipartisan opposition, calling the war-related agreements “dystopian.”

LiquidChain is focusing on blockchain infrastructure as the demand for DeFi increases

Geopolitical risks not only move the prediction markets, but also lead to the dispersion of funds, with traders simultaneously moving between Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, while many tools cannot handle this well. This is a problem that requires structure LiquidChain company’s opinion Solve it directly.

LiquidChain is a Layer 3 project that integrates Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana currencies into a single execution platform as a Unified Liquidity Layer.

The system grows. The system is evolving. ⟁👁https://t.co/vqvBcdSQYC pic.twitter.com/stB6CDGAVD

– LiquidChain (@getliquidchain) April 8, 2026

Developers can deploy once and have access to all three systems. These infrastructures include “single action” and “guaranteed stability”, meant to overcome the delays and dispersion that traders are facing in unstable environments, such as those seen on April 7.

This project collected more than 645 thousand dollars At the current pre-sale price of $0.01447. LiquidChain has attracted attention along with Bitcoin ETF moves as the desire for multi-chain DeFi grows. Don’t forget that this job offers a higher reward 1600% APY For first time buyers.