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The price of XRP continued to trade below a long-term trend, capping any sustained gains for months. This altcoin has repeatedly failed to recover key resistance levels. Although short-term sentiment shows a slight improvement, the overall outlook remains cautious.
Recent developments have introduced a complex dynamic to the series. The increase in whale possession indicated confidence in a recovery. At the same time, declining profits and network growth have highlighted structural risks that may limit recovery attempts.
Whales buy XRP
Large XRP holders have shown commitment to buying despite difficult market conditions. During February, addresses with more than 100,000 properties increased XRP is a collective property. These wallets now control 83.7% of the total XRP supply.
This focus indicates a strong belief among large-cap participants. Whales often swell during consolidation phases to prepare for future surges. Their purchase indicates the expectation of a price recovery rather than immediate distribution. Continued accumulation can reduce circulating supply and stabilize volatility.
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Bearish signals are appearing
There were early signs of profits on the chain. The network’s realized profits and losses increased to $207 million in the last 24 hours. This represents the first significant wave of profit in nearly a month.
While moderate gains are healthy for the overall market, accelerating sales can undermine uptrends. If short-term gains push a wider distribution, the recovery process can stall XRP. Monitoring trends in realized profits will become crucial to assess the likelihood of continuing the rally.
The momentum of new titles showed a more cautious picture at the macro level. This indicator compares monthly new title growth (red) versus year-over-year trends (blue). When monthly growth falls below annual averages, it indicates a contraction in network activity.
Since the beginning of December 2025, the monthly growth of new titles for XRP Below annual levels. This gap reflects lower interaction in the chain and reduced network usage. Weakness in attracting new users is often associated with a slowdown in capital inflows.
Continued deflation limits organic demand. In the absence of sustained expansion of active addresses, price recovery becomes dependent on existing holders rather than new entrants. Historical data shows that a persistent gap is able to hold back gains until growth returns to its normal level.
A reversal of this trend indicates improving fundamentals. An increase in monthly new titles above the annual average indicates renewed adoption. Until this changes, macro fundamentals remain fragile despite the whales’ optimism.
The downward trend of the XRP price continues
XRP is trading at $1.34 at the time of writing, moving just above critical support at the same level. The altcoin remains below a ceiling of resistance at $1.47. The downtrend line active since the beginning of 2026 continues to limit the upward move.
If the downward momentum accelerates, it could lose XRP Support $1.34. When combined with increased profit, this decrease could push the price towards $1.28. Further weakness could extend losses to $1.21, reinforcing the prevailing trend structure.
On the other hand, the stability of the realized profits supports the consolidation above $1.34. Holding this level weakens the descending resistance line. A decisive break above $1.47 invalidates the bearish thesis. Sustained momentum can therefore pay off XRP Around $1.58, indicating a structural change in market sentiment.
