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It keeps Hedera under pressure after a sustained pullback that keeps hbar trapped in a one-month downtrend. The price had difficulty to attract a strong demand, making the recovery attempts weak.
The explosion of this model requires greater support from investors, but this support remains limited so far. This lack of conviction gives derivatives traders time to position with caution.
HBAR traders are threatened
Futures positioning indicates a clear bearish bias. The liquidation chart shows that short contracts carry greater exposure than long contracts at key price levels. This imbalance reflects traders’ expectations that hbar may continue to face downward pressure before starting a sustained recovery.
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However, this situation creates a potential short squeeze scenario. If hbar breaks its downtrend and rises towards the $0.1035 resistance, short trades worth close to $5 million could face liquidation. Bearish traders may be forced to cover their positions, which could inject sudden buying pressure and change the mood in the short term.
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Chain momentum signals indicate a mixed picture. The Chaikin Money Flow indicator showed a bullish divergence against lower price lows earlier this week. While the price continued to decline, the CMF indicator was rising, indicating that the selling pressure was easing rather than strengthening.
Despite this divergence, confirmation remains absent so far. The cmf indicator has not yet crossed the zero line, which indicates the dominance of inflows over flows. Capital continues to leave hbar although at a slower pace. Until this change is complete, the bullish signal remains temporary and inconclusive.
The HBAR price may not see a recovery at the moment
It is trading near $0.0903 at the moment. The behavior of the price at this level did not stimulate the confidence of investors. Continued weak participation prevents capital flows, which reinforces the bearishness of futures traders who see no reason to liquidate their positions prematurely.
The short term forecast depends on whether HBAR can break Its downward trend. Continued consolidation above the $0.0901 support will reduce immediate risks. If investment flows begin to improve as prices stabilize, HBAR may advance towards the $0.1030 resistance. Reaching this level will put pressure on short positions and may lead to forced ratings.
The downside risk remains significant if conditions deteriorate. A break of the $0.0901 support leads to… HBAR exhibition For more losses. In this scenario, the price may fall towards $0.0830. The continued weakness may worsen the declines to $0.0751, which will completely invalidate the bullish hypothesis and confirm the continuation of the general downward trend.
