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Monero is in a strong period. The price of XMR is about 56% in the last seven days, and even after cooling, it is still about 2.7% in the last 24 hours. The price is only 1-2% below its all-time high near $721.
As you move away, the movement seems stronger. In the last three months, Monero has grown by about 120%. The trend is clearly to the upside, but the main question now is simple. Is there a pause coming before another push to all-time highs, or is gravity starting to take effect again?
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XMR price defies gravity, but big capital stops
In the 12-hour chart, Monero’s rise looks aggressive It’s clean. XMR posted a long streak of strong green candles, pushing the price straight to its all-time high. This is what price strength looks like when sellers struggle to slow down the momentum.
But price is only part of the story. Chaikin Funds Flow, or CMF, adds an important layer. CMF tracks whether there is a large flow of money into or out of an asset by integrating price and volume. A high CMF indicates that a large capital is actively buying. Low or stable CMF indicates caution.
Currently, the CMF has not risen as strongly as the price, if we take into account the phase from the beginning of November to January 12. It is below the 0.38 level, which acts as a clear line in the sand. This does not mean that the big players are selling. This means they don’t hunt. When CMF stabilizes during a strong rise, it often indicates that big money is waiting for a better entry or a clearer confirmation.
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This creates a key tension: price overcomes gravity, but big capital watches instead of accelerating. As long as the CMF stays close to the horizontal trend line and does not decline sharply, the uptrend remains intact. But for the rally to continue cleanly, the CMF will probably exceed 0.38 and show renewed flows.
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Emotions give way to gravity as the pressure to buy subsides
While it lasts XMR price At growth, there is an internal indicator that is clearly calm. Monero’s positive sentiment score has dropped dramatically, falling from around 102 to around 29, about 72%, in about 24 hours. Positive sentiment measures how optimistic market participants are via social and behavioral data. The sharp decline shows a pent-up enthusiasm on the road.
The story makes this movie worth watching. On November 9, the positive sentiment reached a local peak near 62. The price of Monero rose to around $440 at the same time. In the following two weeks, the sentiment fell to around 15, and XMR followed up to around $324. This transition was a decrease of 26%.
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The current situation is different, but the warning is familiar. The decline in today’s sentiment is rapid, but has not yet formed a lower minimum. The risks only increase if sentiment falls below 14, and especially if it falls below 11. Right now, this looks more like a refresh than a collapse.
Spot exchange data supports this view. On January 13, approximately $5.77 million was transferred from… XMR is out of exchangewhich indicates strong buying pressure. By January 14, that number had dropped to about $751,000, an 87% drop. This suggests that buyers have pulled back as sentiment has weakened. Selling pressure has not increased, but demand has clearly slowed down.
In simple terms, optimism has waned, and buyers have stopped.
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$880 Wins or Gravity: XMR Price Levels Determined
With strong prices but mixed internal signals, key levels matter more than ever. The first level to watch is the all-time high of $721. A clean recovery and holding above this area would indicate that buyers are still in control.
If the CMF rises, sentiment stabilizes, and spot flows pick up again, the next technical target is near $880. From current levels, this would be an additional 25% increase. In this scenario, even talking about prices in four figures does not seem realistic.
The risk scenario is also clear. If the CMF declines instead of rising, sentiment falls below 14, and spot buying continues to decline, gravity begins to pull harder. In this case, $590 becomes the baseline For the price of Monero. Holding above $590 keeps the broader uptrend intact and may lead to consolidation. A break below would increase the risk of a deeper correction, similar in magnitude to previous pullbacks.
So far, Monero is still winning. The price is strong, the structure is sound, and the sellers remain in control. But the attraction is no longer absent. Whether XMR reaches $880 later depends on one matter. Are the death penalty and sentencing coming back?
