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Welcome to the US Cryptocurrency News Morning Briefing – your essential summary of the most important developments in the cryptocurrency world for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee and get ready for bed. 2025 was supposed to be the year Bitcoin exploded. Bold predictions promised prices in six figures and up to half a million dollars. However, at the end of the year, the reality was not enough, revealing how the hype, cycles and market forces clashed with expectations.
Today’s Cryptocurrency News: How Bold Bitcoin 2025 Predictions Didn’t Come True
Bitcoin entered in 2025 With very high expectationswith analysts, investors and institutions predicting prices exceeding six figures. In some cases, the expected cryptocurrencies have reached half a million dollars.
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At the end of the year, Bitcoin closed at around $87,000, revealing a large gap between belief-based expectations and market reality.
This disparity shows how liquidity constraints, and leverage dynamicsand the structure of the growing Bitcoin market shaping the forecast in 2025.
Among the prominent voices, Eric Trump confidently predicted that Bitcoin will surpass $175,000 In 2025. The son of the president of the United States framed it as an inevitable consequence of the depreciation of the currency.
Similarly, Michael Saylor, an outspoken advocate of MicroStrategy, identified, A goal of $150,000citing dependence on corporate treasury and scarcity of supply as key factors. Financial educator Robert Kiyosaki predicted that he grew between 180,000 and 200,000 dollarsemphasizing Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and debt pressures.
Market strategists join the chorus. FundStrat’s Tom Lee predicted Bitcoin will rise to $250,000driven by ETF inflows and a supportive US policy environment. Like him, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMex, has seen the king of cryptocurrency reach new heights. Ranging between $200,000 and $250,000.
Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya has floated $500,000 targets by October 2025, based on narratives of scarcity and capital migration trends. Tim Draper repeated his call for $250,000 at the end of the year, which was based on concerns about the adoption and erosion of fiat currency.
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The exciting institutional Big Bet on Bitcoin in 2025
Institutional forecasts were similarly optimistic. Standard Chartered’s Jeff Kendrick initially set a target of $200,000, as reported in a previous post. US digital currencies News Publication.
“Net inflows to Bitcoin ETFs are now at $58 billion, of which $23 billion will come in 2025. I hope to reach at least another $20 billion by the end of the year, a number that makes my year-end forecast of $200,000 possible,” he said in an email to BeInCrypto.
Later on Jeff added the cursor sharply With market momentum down. Bitwise also forecast $200,000, tying the increase to regulatory windfalls and ETF growth. Van Eck predicted $180,000, while Bernstein predicted $200,000, putting Bitcoin on a path toward a long-term goal of $1 million.
Matrixport has targeted $160,000, tying potential earnings to macroeconomic changes and the maturity of the cryptocurrency market.
Even broader cryptocurrency analyst forecasts reflected the same optimism. Altcoin Daily predicted $145,000, focusing on ecosystem growth, while Bitcoin’s Quantile model for Plan C suggested between $150,000 and $300,000 based on historical cycles.
Analysts like Liz Alden have seen spreads between $200,000 and $444,000 possible in aggressive ETF and liquidity scenarios, and several influencers, including Ash Crypto, MMCrypto, and Stock Money, have hinted at 2025 highs above $200,000.
However, these forecasts, while bold, assumed a mania of 2021, a market characterized by inversion rallies, extreme leverage and retail euphoria.
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The Bitcoin 2025 bull case is built on narratives, not liquidity
In fact, 2025 has become a test of maturity.
- ETF flows were real, But it was not reflected. They welcomed the offer, but did not make the feedback loops necessary to push Bitcoin above $150,000-$300,000.
- Global liquidity has not yet turned into a full expansion ever Interest rate cuts were slower than expectedBudgets were tight, and venture capital remained selective.
- The institutions acted as commissioners, not as speculators. Bitcoin was treated as a hedge, not as a momentum asset.
- Leverage Determine the height The long Forced liquidations reset upward movements repeatedly before accumulating.
- Market cycles have evolved. Bitcoin is now larger, more regulated and structurally restricted compared to previous equivalent periods, making older conclusions less reliable.
By the end of 2025, the gap between expectations and reality was clear. The failure of the market to match the positive targets set by analysts and institutions indicates that conviction alone cannot move the markets.
Bitcoin’s trajectory in 2025 has shown a maturing market where macroeconomic conditions, liquidity dynamics and structural factors are now overcoming narrative-based optimism.
Perhaps this explains why Last report K33Research shows that 2025 was the least volatile year for Bitcoin. It’s also a lesson for investors to do their own research and not just rely on the predictions of experts.
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Today’s map
Alpha is a byte size
Here’s a roundup of more US cryptocurrency news to follow today:
Overview of Pre-Market Cryptocurrency Stocks
| Company | Closed until January 1st | Early market overview |
| Strategy (MSTR) | $151.95 | $155.95 (+2.63%) |
| Coinbase (COIN) | $226.14 | $231.00 (+2.15%) |
| Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) | $22.36 | $22.91 (+2.46%) |
| Mara Holdings (MARA) | $8.98 | $9.24 (+2.90%) |
| RIOT Platforms | $12.67 | $13.03 (+2.84%) |
| Basic Sciences (CORZ) | $14.56 | $14.79 (+1.58%) |
