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Hydra has attempted a moderate recovery in recent sessions, but HBAR remains trapped under a large technical barrier. The altcoin continues to trade below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, limiting upside momentum.
As Hedera prepares for structural changes in 2026, investors remain focused on whether these developments could materially impact HBAR’s price performance.
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Hydra increases service fees
Hedera announced in July that it will increase ConsensusSubmitMessage transaction fees by 800% starting in January 2026. The fee will increase from $0.0001 to $0.0008. ConsensusSubmitMessage transactions allow users to submit data to the Hedera network to determine reliable timing and order.
Despite the relative size of the increase, the absolute cost is still small. Industry participants have discussed the precedent of increasing network fees, but this change is unlikely to have a significant impact on demand. The rate adjustment is primarily aimed at enterprise use cases and does not significantly change the cost structure for most applications or users.
Hedera bearers are more ciliate than ascending
Technical indicators reflect the cautious outlook of investors. Chaikin Funds Flow, or CMF, remains below the zero line, indicating continued capital flow From HBAR. This suggests that investors are reducing exposure rather than positioning for recovery.
The absence of strong bullish macro signals reinforced this trend. Risk appetite in altcoins remains low, and HBAR has not attracted sustained flows. Given current conditions, this bearish capital flow dynamic is likely to continue into 2026 unless sentiment improves significantly.
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Derivatives data also highlights a general weak momentum. The liquidation chart shows that traders are taking downside risks. informs Short exposure in HBAR It currently stands at about $8.21 million, while the long-term exposure is much lower at about $4.5 million.
This imbalance indicates that bearish contracts dominate market positioning. Traders seem to be more confident in the possibility of a price decline than a sustained rebound. This tilted position often amplifies negative volatility, particularly during periods of low liquidity or negative market catalysts.
The HBAR price should turn this critical level into support
HBAR is trading at $0.112 at the time of writing, holding the immediate support level at $0.109. However, the price remains restricted below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement line near $0.115. This confluence continues to act as a strong resistance zone, limiting the upward advance.
Prevailing and chain technical signals indicate that any recovery attempt will likely remain sketchy. Consolidation above $0.109 looks more likely A decisive breakout of the HBAR indicator. This range-bound behavior reflects weak demand and limited speculative interest in current market conditions.
A change in the broader cryptocurrency market may change this prediction. If general conditions change decisively to the upside, HBAR can be beneficial To renew the appetite for risks. A retracement of the 23.6% Fibonacci level to support would confirm a recovery move, opening a potential path towards $0.120.
