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XRP is down 11.4% so far in December, putting the asset on track to end the year with a loss and end its two-year annual winning streak. This decline reflects weak market momentum, with on-chain data indicating that selling pressure is increasing as inflows into Binance increase.
Despite this negative situation, some analysts remain cautiously optimistic. They argue that XRP may be in a recovery similar to the 2017 cycle.
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Binance’s increased flows indicate increasing selling pressure on XRP
XRP has struggled with the broader market this quarter, posting consecutive monthly losses. Show data CryptoRank reported that the token fell by 11.9% in October, followed by a sharp decline of 13.8% in November.
This weakness continued in December, with XRP down 11.4% so far this month. In the midst of this declineanalyst Darkfoust pointed to signs of increasing selling pressure.
The series data reveal a sharp increase XRP flows to Binance Starting on December 15th, daily deposits ranged between 35 million XRP and peaked at 116 million XRP on December 19th. This growth came after a period of relatively stable and moderate exchange flows.
“These flows are usually interpreted as potential intent to sell, especially when they increase rapidly,” Darkvost said.
According to analysts, this change also indicates change In investor behavior.
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“While most of the market has followed a hold strategy since October, the trend over the past two weeks indicates a trend towards profit taking of old positions, as well as capitulation and loss selling by new entrants.”
A recent analysis by BeInCrypto also found that Wallets that have held XRP for two to three years have fallen sharply from 14.26% of supply on November 26th to around 5.66% on December 26th.
Finally, Darkvost added that as long as exchange inflows remain high or continue to increase, XRP may face challenges to enter. In a real phase of accumulation. Analysts warned that continued selling pressure could extend the current correction and possibly push prices lower.
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Will XRP make a 2017-style recovery?
Despite this, many market observers remain optimistic Regarding currency forecasts. One analyst noted that a potential Adam and Eve pattern could be forming on the 1-hour XRP chart.
The Adam and Eve pattern is a technical reversal pattern that indicates a potential change from a downtrend to an uptrend. It consists of two distinct lows: the first, known as “Adam”, is strong and V-shaped, reflecting panic-driven selling.
The second, the “EV” bottom, is more rounded, indicating stable price movement and low selling pressure. A confirmed break above the rock of the pattern is generally seen as a bullish signal, indicating that buyers are taking back control.
In addition, He argues Some analysts believe that the current structure of the XRP market closely reflects its price behavior in 2017.
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“The measured movement for XRP establishes $15+. The prices, after taking in 2017, have followed their measured movement quite well, and the prices, with a similar explosion recently, seem to be on track to do the same. This suggests another increase close to 8x in a growth of more than 690%”, wrote Javon Marks.
However, it is worth noting that such comparisons rely heavily on historical symmetry, which cannot always be replicated under different market conditions.
As the end of 2025 approaches, XRP is still at a crossroads. Increased stock market flows indicate selling pressure, while technical indicators and historical comparisons indicate a possible recovery. Whether the bullish signals will overcome the weakness of the fundamentals in the series will not become clear Explained in the coming weeks.
