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The price of Bitcoin is down almost 2% in the last 24 hours and is down about 3% from yesterday’s peak. At first glance, nothing about the price seems exciting.
However, something under the label, especially in the chain, has changed for the first time in almost three months, and something happened this week. These two changes do not confirm a rally in 2026, but they could be the first building blocks for one.
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A change in momentum is beginning, but it needs proof
Two signals appeared at the same time. They are separate, but the timing is important.
The first is the break-even volume (OBV). OBV measures buying and selling pressure through volume. From December 21 to 26, The price of Bitcoin has increased. No OBV followed. He was up and down. This is a downward deviation from the apparent value. This explains why the price failed to discover (the long wick on December 26), as the volume did not accompany the slight increase in price.
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This week, OBV broke above the trend line connecting those highs and lows. These setbacks indicate that stronger buying pressure is building. The signal is not confirmed until the OBV reaches a higher high above 1.58 million. If this happens, he can react Bitcoin price at last. This has not yet happened.
The second signal comes from the Hodler measurement of interstellar location change. This tracks portfolios that last more than 155 days. They are the slowest on the market.
On December 26, this measure turned positive for the first time since the end of September. Long holders added 3,783.8 Bitcoin (BTC). Don’t buy for short term moves. They buy on conviction. This is the first time in almost three months that a conviction has emerged.
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The relief pool needs both sides. OBV must adhere to this. The Hodlers must continue to add. One without the other is not enough.
Bitcoin price map depicting the end of the year or beginning of 2026
The price of Bitcoin still has work to do. Price levels tell the real story.
Bitcoin has failed to recover $90,840 for almost two weeks. This level rejected the price on December 12 and prevented any attempt since then. Until the price exceeds this level, any jump appears temporary.
Above $90,840, the first real control point in the relief pool is near $97,190. The price of Bitcoin fell below this level on November 14.
If the rally continues, $101,710 and $107,470 are the next areas.
On the downside, support is at $86,915. It happens from December 19. Its loss opens the way to $ 80 560. The low liquidity at the end of the year increases this risk. Now, depending on the positioning of long-term investors, the price of Bitcoin could try a rally towards $90,840 or even higher if the support at $86,910 holds.
