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The price of XRP has quietly dropped in an uncomfortable situation. The price is down about 9% in the last 30 days, the momentum seems to be stagnant, and the positive social chat around the token has turned noticeably negative. At first glance, this seems like a weakness. But XRP has a history of doing its best when enthusiasm fades.
This time, the issue that pulls the emotion to the bottom may also be the exact condition that sets the stage for the next move. Maybe led by a group of key holders.
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Problem: Positive sentiment collapses as short-term holders exit
The main problem is not the price. It’s an emotion.
decrease The positive social sentiment of XRP to its lowest level in three months, falling sharply from recent peaks. This metric tracks the frequency with which XRP is being positively discussed on social media platforms. When it collapses, it indicates public fatigue rather than panic buying.
History proves that this is important.
In mid-October, a similar decline in sentiment was preceded by a rise of around 15% in the following days. In early November, another local decline in positive sentiment was followed by a 17% increase in one week. The end of November showed the same pattern, with prices rising about 14% after sentiment picked up.
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This time, the drop in sentiment is deeper than those previous lows.
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This decline in sentiment may be driven by short-term rulers. HODL waves, which track how many currencies are held, show that… Wallets containing XRP For one day a week their share of supply has decreased drastically. This group held about 2.97% of the offer before the month. This number has now dropped to around 1.18%, a drop of over 60%.
In simple terms, the money quickly, maybe selling, lost interest and move. This is the problem affecting XRP sentiment. The next section highlights why it’s not so bad.
The solution: long-term holders sell less, not more
Here the story changes.
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While short-term holders miss out on profits, long-term holders do the opposite. Data tracking the change in long-term net stewards’ positions show that selling pressure from these portfolios has decreased significantly.
At the beginning of the month, long-term holders sold about 216 million XRP every day. This number has gradually decreased to about 103 million XRP, a decrease of more than 50% in sales activity.
This is important because long-term rights holders tend to act sooner rather than later. When distribution slows during periods of weak sentiment, it often indicates quiet accumulation or strategic patience.
The problem with XRP is public apathy. The solution is for experienced teachers to no longer feed this apathy.
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XRP price levels that determine whether the solution works or not.
If this emotion-based situation comes back,… XRP price levels I will quickly confirm this.
An initial move towards the next resistance at $2.03 would mean an upside of around 8% from current levels. Breaking out of that zone paves the way for a bigger push towards the next resistance bands, $2.09 and $2.17, where the previous highs settle.
On the upside, XRP should maintain its main support at $1.77. A failure here has invalidated the hypothesis driven by emotions and indicates that long-term drivers are no longer subject to supply.
Until now, the structure remains intact.
The biggest problem with XRP is that the positive sentiment is gone. But history shows that when optimism disappears, weak hands leave first and strong hands step in. If this pattern repeats itself, the same problem weighing down the XRP price today could become the solution that unlocks its next move.
