90% of HBAR buyers are gone – is a price collapse now the baseline scenario?

Hedera is moving towards a dangerous area. In the past month, the buying pressure has decreased by about 90%, even when the price of HBAR continues to fall. While the broader crypto market is trying to stabilize, Hedera is not seeing the same response, especially on the charts.

Shoppers walk away instead of buying dibs. At this point, a bearish breakout is no longer a low-chance outcome. It’s starting to look like the basic box.

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Spot buying has almost disappeared as the downtrend remains intact

HBAR spot market The most obvious caveat appears.

In the week ending Nov. 10, Hedera recorded spot flows of about $26.7 million, indicating strong buying as coins move off exchanges. By the week ending December 15, that number had dropped to just $2.4 million. This means a close to 90% collapse in buying pressure in just over a month.

This is important because the price is actually trading in a descending channel, which is a bearish pattern. When buyers disappear during a downtrend, sellers don’t need the strength to push the price up. The market becomes fragile.

The money flow index, or MFI, highlights this weakness. MFI tracks the amount of money coming in or out of an asset using price and volume. in HBAR statusMFI made lower lows with the price, and is now in overvalued territory. Instead of rebounding, the downward trend continues.

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This means that the dip is not bought, which indicates that there is a limited belief at a specific price.

Because the HBAR price collapse scenario is gaining weight

When spot demand weakens and the flow of funds decreases, HBAR price action becomes the final arbiter.

fall out HBAR It is near the lower boundary of its descending channel. The first key level to watch is $0.106. If the price loses this level in a daily close, the next downside is close to $0.095, which is about 12% lower than the current levels. Attacking this side would mean some bearish bottoming, adding another $0.078 to the mix.

This move confirms a continuation of the trend rather than a temporary decline.

To break the bearish condition, HBAR needs a major turn. The price should recover several resistance zones and close near $0.155. Given the collapse of spot purchases and the continued weakness in investment financing, this outcome seems unlikely at the moment.

The conclusion is clear. With buyers largely gone, cash flow reduced, and price already trapped in a bearish structure, a crash is no longer just a risk. At the moment, it is the basic case, or rather a possible result.