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Real asset tokens will continue to bleed until February 2026, with several key real asset tokens to watch remaining more than 80% below their recent highs. The sale was widespread and ruthless.
But as March approaches, signs of a technical reversal are beginning to appear in many charts, supported by declining exchange flows and steady demand for ETFs. Here are 3 tokenized asset projects where the setup is starting to change.
Stellar (XLM)
The real asset footprint on the Stellar network has risen even as its token continues to suffer. Data from the website rwa.xyz showed that The value of assets distributed on the network was $ 1.27 billionincreased by 25% in the last 30 days. From the institutional side, it was launched CME Group Stellar futures on February 9, 2026. Standard and mini contracts are now available, offering institutions a regulated channel to access XLM for the first time.
However, the xlm price remains under pressure. Stellar has fallen by about 40% in the last three months and is trading near $0.154. But the charts are starting to tell a different story.
Between December 18 and February 24, XLM recorded a lower low while the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, formed a higher low, a classic bullish divergence. This is a typical reversal signal and a similar event happened recently. An almost identical pattern appeared on February 11, after which Stellar rose about 23% and then corrected.
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If the current divergence materializes at the March entry, the first obstacle is at $0.164, a level that has changed between support and resistance several times. Its breakout opens the way towards $0.185 (where the last bullish wave stopped), and then $0.210, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and will mark the first proper structural change in several months. A move after this puts $0.230 in contention.
On the downside, failure to regain $0.164 leaves Stellar confined to a trading range. A break below $0.136 invalidates the reversal hypothesis.
With RWA adoption accelerating and the institutional infrastructure currently in place, Stellar (XLM) stands out as a real token asset to watch in March. The foundations are gradually strengthened. The gap suggests that the price may be ready to take over.
Chainlink (LINK)
Chainlink continues to lead As an infrastructure oracle for the tokenized asset economy, the performance of the Spot ETF reinforces this position. While Bitcoin ETFs have suffered cash flows for nearly six consecutive weeks, Chainlink has not recorded a single negative week since the launch of its ETFs.
This kind of continuity in a risk-averse environment is rare in the RWA sector and indicates continued institutional demand even as the overall market sentiment towards crypto deteriorates.
The chart showed that Chainlink forms an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the 12-hour frame, a structure that carries about a 35% chance of breakout if the neckline is broken.
However, the neckline is sloping down, meaning that a clear breakout on the 12-hour chart above $9.00 is needed to trigger the move. Chainlink first tested this level between February 19 and 21 while breaking out of the right shoulder, but the price failed at $9.00 and retreated. This refusal made the neckline even more important. A confirmed daily close above this line represents a strong, technical and moral signal.
If LINK retakes the $9.00 level, it paves the way for a breakout towards $11.30, in line with the movement measured by the model. A major resistance may prevent the potential rally to $10.00.
On the other hand, losing $8.00 weakens the structure. A decisive break below $7.20 completely invalidates the inverted head and shoulders pattern and shifts the bias towards negativity.
Watch blockchain adoption spread through tokenized securities and cross-chain interoperability, and watch ETF flows show no signs of abating, as Chainlink remains one of the strongest. RWA values ​​to watch As March approaches. A failed decoy attempt made the next attempt decisive. If $9.00 is violated, the setup can provide one of the clearest moves in the real assets sector for this quarter.
Ondo Finance (ONDO)
Ondo Finance remains one of the largest tokenized asset platforms in the real assets sector, with over $2.5 billion in total value closed. Despite this growth, the ONDO token has not kept pace. Since its price reached a maximum of $2.14 in December 2024, ONDO has fallen by about 80% and is now trading at $0.25. This decoupling has made it one of the lowest priced real asset tokens in terms of expanding the underlying platform.
A potential change has now technically emerged. Between January 25 and February 24, ONDO made a lower low while the RSI showed a higher low. This created a record bullish divergence, which is a classic signal for an early reversal, as we discussed before about XLM.
Blockchain data confirmed this signal. The flow of tokens to exchanges decreased drastically after February 24th, dropping from 42.91 million ONDO to just 4.54 million. This represents a decrease of about 89% in tokens that flow to exchanges, possibly for the purpose of selling.
When stock market flows collapse at the same time as a divergence signal, it indicates that the selling pressure behind the downtrend is reducing.
Watch the coming period, as the first major level is located at $0.26. Confirming stability above this level will confirm strength in the short term and open the way towards $0.30, which has formed repeated resistance in recent weeks.
Restoring the level of $0.30 succeeded in strengthening the reversal structure and allowed a move towards $0.36. A move to $0.30 would be an approximate 19% increase from current prices.
Watch from the side, as support is at $0.23. Losing this level will increase the risk of another decline towards $0.20. This level remains the most important plan of the structure. A break below $0.20 will weaken the initial reversal hypothesis and confirm that the long-term trend is still in control.
